Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 107.027115 121.546200 137.522685 156.442119 178.279940 202.747549 232.311759
2026-02-01 86.574064 105.681763 128.445648 157.701362 194.499068 239.504091 299.106217
2026-02-08 72.876268 93.576716 119.658692 155.198601 202.772052 264.826381 352.831778
2026-02-15 64.594362 86.411880 115.183891 156.323263 214.317677 294.171933 414.216372
2026-02-22 58.552429 81.126705 112.087439 158.245216 226.330255 324.670101 480.401455
2026-03-01 52.028068 74.264835 105.798235 154.525659 229.272396 341.828267 528.424801
2026-03-08 46.858187 68.697770 100.614172 151.564133 232.567543 359.312817 578.556169
2026-03-15 42.927482 64.508432 96.938575 150.302510 238.039763 380.383172 636.775325
2026-03-22 41.117042 63.322715 97.631977 155.830889 254.812697 421.412927 734.185780
2026-03-29 39.261781 61.855298 97.676623 160.191157 269.949953 461.225935 834.784604
2026-04-05 36.608167 58.843584 94.912100 159.469610 276.088679 485.781479 910.232716
2026-04-12 34.702382 56.883469 93.677549 161.191376 286.631234 519.311122 1007.469898
2026-04-19 32.196490 53.904321 90.796203 160.346411 293.610781 549.415013 1107.834996
2026-04-26 30.269377 51.775281 89.234043 161.831057 305.400447 590.906653 1240.479400
2026-05-03 27.956838 48.740970 85.746545 159.266032 308.867014 616.076154 1341.976523
2026-05-10 26.406941 46.932519 84.297680 160.423887 319.903831 658.371473 1490.032753
2026-05-17 25.112048 45.469778 83.336294 162.401703 332.833886 706.494094 1661.012906
2026-05-24 23.240281 42.754685 79.727764 158.574161 332.774411 725.625585 1763.852668
2026-05-31 21.638102 40.423436 76.656374 155.526854 334.025959 747.878905 1878.955876
2026-06-07 20.370644 38.641922 74.516546 154.228742 339.053355 779.738443 2025.993698
2026-06-14 19.914746 38.434030 75.534823 159.917254 361.046254 856.246569 2312.987959
2026-06-21 19.362437 37.981251 75.998610 164.404249 380.751198 930.092252 2608.934175
2026-06-28 18.374011 36.547178 74.264808 163.661705 387.472178 971.173883 2815.500257